Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102 0.000108 0.000114 0.000120 0.000127
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000091 0.000098 0.000106 0.000116 0.000126 0.000139
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000088 0.000097 0.000108 0.000121 0.000136 0.000156
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000084 0.000094 0.000107 0.000122 0.000141 0.000167
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000081 0.000091 0.000105 0.000123 0.000145 0.000176
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000079 0.000090 0.000106 0.000126 0.000152 0.000190
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000077 0.000090 0.000107 0.000130 0.000160 0.000207
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000075 0.000088 0.000105 0.000129 0.000162 0.000214
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000071 0.000084 0.000102 0.000126 0.000161 0.000216
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000069 0.000081 0.000099 0.000125 0.000161 0.000220
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000095 0.000120 0.000156 0.000217
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000097 0.000124 0.000164 0.000234
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000098 0.000127 0.000173 0.000256
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000063 0.000076 0.000097 0.000127 0.000175 0.000267
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000098 0.000132 0.000186 0.000295
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000097 0.000132 0.000189 0.000309
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000096 0.000132 0.000192 0.000321
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000096 0.000134 0.000199 0.000345
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074 0.000098 0.000138 0.000209 0.000380
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000096 0.000136 0.000210 0.000390
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000133 0.000206 0.000388
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000068 0.000091 0.000130 0.000204 0.000391
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000051 0.000065 0.000087 0.000126 0.000197 0.000378